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Match predictions

Homeboyz vs Tusker Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sun, Nov 2 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Homeboyz Homeboyz logo
1-1
Tusker logo Tusker
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 7 Bukhungu Stadium
132%Home X32%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 36%
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Match forecast

Tusker to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 36% ★★☆☆☆
Homeboyz Win32%
Draw32%
Tusker Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 36% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
Tusker formW D L L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tusker have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Homeboyz a 40% home win trend and Tusker a 30% away win trend. Homeboyz average 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Tusker at 0.70 scored and 0.80 conceded. Homeboyz 0 wins, Tusker 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 32% draw and 36% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Homeboyz 0 wins, Tusker 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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