Match predictions

AFC Leopards vs Mathare United Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sun, Nov 2 - 15:00

Sportpesa League Won

Match Centre All Predictions

AFC Leopards AFC Leopards logo

2-0

Mathare United

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 7 Nyayo National Stadium

151%Home X22%Draw 227%Away

Match Centre Confidence 51%

Match forecast

AFC Leopards to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆

AFC Leopards Win51%

Draw22%

Mathare United Win27%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner AFC Leopards to Win 51% model probability

Double Chance 12 78% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 60% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score AFC Leopards Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 80% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 2-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AFC Leopards formL L W W W9 points from last five

Mathare United formW L W L D7 points from last five

Home/Away strength70% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.20 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AFC Leopards have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mathare United have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AFC Leopards a 70% home win trend and Mathare United a 10% away win trend. AFC Leopards average 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mathare United at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. AFC Leopards 1 wins, Mathare United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 22% draw and 27% away, making AFC Leopards to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

AFC Leopards 1 wins, Mathare United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

AFC Leopards vs Mathare United Prediction

AFC Leopards to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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