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Match predictions

Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz Prediction

Sportpesa League · Wed, Dec 17 - 16:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Won
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia logo
1-0
Homeboyz logo Homeboyz
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 14 Moi International Sports Centre
158%Home X23%Draw 218%Away
Match Centre Confidence 58%
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Match forecast

Gor Mahia to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Medium · 58% ★★★☆☆
Gor Mahia Win58%
Draw23%
Homeboyz Win18%
Over 2.5 Goals No 45% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 58% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Gor Mahia formL D W D W8 points from last five
Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.80 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Gor Mahia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Gor Mahia a 60% home win trend and Homeboyz a 20% away win trend. Gor Mahia average 0.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Homeboyz at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Gor Mahia 2 wins, Homeboyz 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 58% home, 23% draw and 18% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 58% confidence.

Gor Mahia 2 wins, Homeboyz 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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