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Match predictions

Napoli vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A · Sun, May 24 - 19:00

Serie A logo Serie A Won
Napoli Napoli logo
1-0
Udinese logo Udinese
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 38 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
146%Home X21%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Napoli to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Napoli Win46%
Draw21%
Udinese Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals No 52% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Napoli formW W L D W10 points from last five
Udinese formL L W W D7 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.20Average goals scored
Table position2 / 1076 pts vs 50 pts
Player form7.04 / 6.98Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Udinese have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Napoli a 60% home win trend and Udinese a 50% away win trend. Napoli average 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Udinese at 1.20 scored and 0.70 conceded. Napoli 1 wins, Udinese 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Napoli in position 2, 76 points, 38 matches played, while Udinese in position 10, 50 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Napoli an average top-player rating of 7.04 with 54 latest goal involvements, compared with Udinese at 6.98 rating and 27 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 21% draw and 34% away, making Napoli to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Napoli 1 wins, Udinese 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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