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Match predictions

Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Sportpesa League · Wed, Jan 14 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC logo
1-1
Mara Sugar logo Mara Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 Police Sacco Stadium
146%Home X28%Draw 225%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Kenya Police FC to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Kenya Police FC Win46%
Draw28%
Mara Sugar Win25%
Over 2.5 Goals No 45% probability Actual: 2 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Kenya Police FC formL D D D D4 points from last five
Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Kenya Police FC a 50% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 20% away win trend. Kenya Police FC average 1.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded. Kenya Police FC 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 28% draw and 25% away, making Kenya Police FC to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Kenya Police FC 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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