Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Prediction summary

Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar key facts

Primary tipGor Mahia to Win

Predicted score2-0

Kick-offSun, Jan 18 - 16:00

Confidence50%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Gor Mahia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Gor Mahia a 40% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 20% away win trend. Gor Mahia average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded. Gor Mahia 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played, while Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 50% home, 25% draw and 26% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

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Match forecast

Gor Mahia to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆

Gor Mahia Win50%

Draw25%

Mara Sugar Win26%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Gor Mahia to Win 50% model probability

Double Chance 12 75% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 65% model probability

Correct Score 2-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Gor Mahia Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Gor Mahia clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals No 49% probability Actual: 3 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 3-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Gor Mahia formL D W L W7 points from last five

Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 0.70Average goals scored

Table position1 / 1169 pts vs 44 pts

Reason for tip

Gor Mahia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Gor Mahia a 40% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 20% away win trend. Gor Mahia average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded. Gor Mahia 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played, while Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 50% home, 25% draw and 26% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Gor Mahia 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar questions

What is the Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Gor Mahia to Win with a predicted score of 2-0 and 50% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Gor Mahia are rated at 50%, the draw at 25%, and Mara Sugar at 26%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.