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Match predictions

Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia Prediction

Sportpesa Premier League · Sun, Mar 15 - 15:30

Updated Sun, Aug 9, 2026 00:00 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League logo Sportpesa Premier League Won
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars logo
1-3
Gor Mahia logo Gor Mahia
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 24 Ulinzi Sports Complex
136%Home X23%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia key facts

Primary tipGor Mahia to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offSun, Mar 15 - 15:30
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Ulinzi Stars have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Gor Mahia have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Ulinzi Stars a 30% home win trend and Gor Mahia a 90% away win trend. Ulinzi Stars average 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Gor Mahia at 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Ulinzi Stars 0 wins, Gor Mahia 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Ulinzi Stars in position 13, 41 points, 34 matches played, while Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 23% draw and 41% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

Gor Mahia to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Ulinzi Stars Win36%
Draw23%
Gor Mahia Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 63% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ulinzi Stars formW W W L D10 points from last five
Gor Mahia formW D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 90%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 2.00Average goals scored
Table position13 / 141 pts vs 69 pts

Reason for tip

Ulinzi Stars have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Gor Mahia have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Ulinzi Stars a 30% home win trend and Gor Mahia a 90% away win trend. Ulinzi Stars average 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Gor Mahia at 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Ulinzi Stars 0 wins, Gor Mahia 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Ulinzi Stars in position 13, 41 points, 34 matches played, while Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 23% draw and 41% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Ulinzi Stars 0 wins, Gor Mahia 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia questions

What is the Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Gor Mahia to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Ulinzi Stars are rated at 36%, the draw at 23%, and Gor Mahia at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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