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Match predictions

Gor Mahia vs Kenya Police FC Prediction

Sportpesa Premier League · Sun, May 10 - 16:00

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League logo Sportpesa Premier League Lost
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia logo
1-1
Kenya Police FC logo Kenya Police FC
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31
146%Home X24%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Prediction summary

Gor Mahia vs Kenya Police FC key facts

Primary tipGor Mahia to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSun, May 10 - 16:00
Confidence46%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Gor Mahia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Gor Mahia a 40% home win trend and Kenya Police FC a 30% away win trend. Gor Mahia average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kenya Police FC at 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Gor Mahia 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played, while Kenya Police FC in position 3, 55 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 24% draw and 30% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Match forecast

Gor Mahia to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Gor Mahia Win46%
Draw24%
Kenya Police FC Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 57% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Gor Mahia formL D W L W7 points from last five
Kenya Police FC formL D D D D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.00Average goals scored
Table position1 / 369 pts vs 55 pts

Reason for tip

Gor Mahia have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Gor Mahia a 40% home win trend and Kenya Police FC a 30% away win trend. Gor Mahia average 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kenya Police FC at 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Gor Mahia 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Gor Mahia in position 1, 69 points, 34 matches played, while Kenya Police FC in position 3, 55 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 24% draw and 30% away, making Gor Mahia to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Gor Mahia 1 wins, Kenya Police FC 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Gor Mahia vs Kenya Police FC questions

What is the Gor Mahia vs Kenya Police FC prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Gor Mahia to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 46% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Gor Mahia are rated at 46%, the draw at 24%, and Kenya Police FC at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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