Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction

Prediction summary

Manchester City vs Bournemouth key facts

Primary tipManchester City to Win

Predicted score2-1

Kick-offSun, Nov 2 - 19:30

Confidence47%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Bournemouth a 50% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bournemouth at 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Manchester City 1 wins, Bournemouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 19% draw and 33% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

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Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆

Manchester City Win47%

Draw19%

Bournemouth Win33%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Manchester City to Win 47% model probability

Double Chance 12 81% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Manchester City Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Manchester City clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 81% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five

Bournemouth formD D W W D9 points from last five

Home/Away strength70% / 50%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile2.00 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Bournemouth a 50% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bournemouth at 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Manchester City 1 wins, Bournemouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 19% draw and 33% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Manchester City 1 wins, Bournemouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Manchester City vs Bournemouth questions

What is the Manchester City vs Bournemouth prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Manchester City to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 47% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Manchester City are rated at 47%, the draw at 19%, and Bournemouth at 33%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.