Everton vs Newcastle Prediction

Prediction summary

Everton vs Newcastle key facts

Primary tipNewcastle to Win

Predicted score2-3

Kick-offSat, Nov 29 - 20:30

Confidence40%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Everton 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 31% draw and 40% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

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Match forecast

Newcastle to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆

Everton Win29%

Draw31%

Newcastle Win40%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Newcastle to Win 40% model probability

Double Chance X2 71% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% model probability

Correct Score 2-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Everton Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-4 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-4

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Everton formL L D D L2 points from last five

Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five

Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.50 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Everton 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 31% draw and 40% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Everton 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-4 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Everton vs Newcastle questions

What is the Everton vs Newcastle prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Newcastle to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 40% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Everton are rated at 29%, the draw at 31%, and Newcastle at 40%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.