Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Prediction summary

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest key facts

Primary tipAston Villa to Win

Predicted score3-2

Kick-offSat, Jan 3 - 15:30

Confidence52%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Nottingham Forest a 50% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nottingham Forest at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Nottingham Forest 1 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 19% draw and 29% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

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Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆

Aston Villa Win52%

Draw19%

Nottingham Forest Win29%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Aston Villa to Win 52% model probability

Double Chance 12 81% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 3-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Aston Villa Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five

Nottingham Forest formD L D L W5 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 50%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile2.40 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Nottingham Forest a 50% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nottingham Forest at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Nottingham Forest 1 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 19% draw and 29% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

Aston Villa 2 wins, Nottingham Forest 1 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 3-2 and 52% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Aston Villa are rated at 52%, the draw at 19%, and Nottingham Forest at 29%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.