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Match predictions

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Mon, Jan 19 - 23:00

Updated Fri, Jul 24, 2026 13:58 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Brighton Brighton logo
1-1
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 American Express Stadium
135%Home X24%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Brighton vs Bournemouth key facts

Primary tipBournemouth to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offMon, Jan 19 - 23:00
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brighton a 50% home win trend and Bournemouth a 50% away win trend. Brighton average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bournemouth at 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Brighton 0 wins, Bournemouth 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 24% draw and 41% away, making Bournemouth to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

Bournemouth to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Brighton Win35%
Draw24%
Bournemouth Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Bournemouth formD D W W D9 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brighton a 50% home win trend and Bournemouth a 50% away win trend. Brighton average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bournemouth at 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Brighton 0 wins, Bournemouth 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 24% draw and 41% away, making Bournemouth to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Brighton 0 wins, Bournemouth 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Brighton vs Bournemouth questions

What is the Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Bournemouth to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Brighton are rated at 35%, the draw at 24%, and Bournemouth at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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