Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Prediction summary

Newcastle vs Aston Villa key facts

Primary tipAston Villa to Win

Predicted score1-2

Kick-offSun, Jan 25 - 17:00

Confidence45%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 22% draw and 45% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Open Newcastle vs Aston Villa Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆

Newcastle Win33%

Draw22%

Aston Villa Win45%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Aston Villa to Win 45% model probability

Double Chance 12 78% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 60% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Aston Villa Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-2 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 0-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 2.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 22% draw and 45% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Newcastle 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Newcastle vs Aston Villa questions

What is the Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 45% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Newcastle are rated at 33%, the draw at 22%, and Aston Villa at 45%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.