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Match predictions

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Feb 7 - 18:00

Updated Tue, Jul 21, 2026 18:52 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Bournemouth Bournemouth logo
1-1
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 25 Vitality Stadium
135%Home X21%Draw 244%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa key facts

Primary tipAston Villa to Win
Predicted score2-3
Kick-offSat, Feb 7 - 18:00
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bournemouth a 30% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Bournemouth 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 21% draw and 44% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Bournemouth Win35%
Draw21%
Aston Villa Win44%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Bournemouth formD D W W D9 points from last five
Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 2.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bournemouth a 30% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Bournemouth 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 21% draw and 44% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Bournemouth 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa questions

What is the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Bournemouth are rated at 35%, the draw at 21%, and Aston Villa at 44%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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