Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction

Prediction summary

Aston Villa vs Brighton key facts

Primary tipAston Villa to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offWed, Feb 11 - 22:30

Confidence55%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 18% draw and 27% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

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Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆

Aston Villa Win55%

Draw18%

Brighton Win27%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Aston Villa to Win 55% model probability

Double Chance 12 82% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 60% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Aston Villa Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 1-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five

Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile2.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 18% draw and 27% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

Aston Villa 2 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Aston Villa vs Brighton questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 55% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Aston Villa are rated at 55%, the draw at 18%, and Brighton at 27%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.