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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Feb 21 - 18:00

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 09:21 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Aston Villa Aston Villa logo
1-1
Leeds logo Leeds
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Villa Park
157%Home X19%Draw 225%Away
Match Centre Confidence 57%
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Prediction summary

Aston Villa vs Leeds key facts

Primary tipAston Villa to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSat, Feb 21 - 18:00
Confidence57%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leeds have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Leeds a 10% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leeds at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Leeds 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 25% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 57% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win57%
Draw19%
Leeds Win25%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 57% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Leeds formL W D W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leeds have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Leeds a 10% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leeds at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Leeds 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 25% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

Aston Villa 1 wins, Leeds 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Aston Villa vs Leeds questions

What is the Aston Villa vs Leeds prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 57% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Aston Villa are rated at 57%, the draw at 19%, and Leeds at 25%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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