Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction
Premier League · Wed, Mar 4 - 22:30
Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 13:58 EAT
Premier League
Lost
Chelsea
Aston Villa vs Chelsea key facts
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 24% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.
Aston Villa to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 24% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.
Aston Villa 1 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-4 · Outcome: Away Win
Aston Villa vs Chelsea questions
What is the Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 57% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Aston Villa are rated at 57%, the draw at 19%, and Chelsea at 24%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.