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Match predictions

Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction

Premier League · Wed, Mar 4 - 23:15

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 18:49 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Newcastle Newcastle logo
2-1
Manchester United logo Manchester United
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 St James' Park
133%Home X22%Draw 244%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Newcastle vs Manchester United key facts

Primary tipManchester United to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offWed, Mar 4 - 23:15
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Manchester United a 40% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester United at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 22% draw and 44% away, making Manchester United to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Manchester United to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Newcastle Win33%
Draw22%
Manchester United Win44%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five
Manchester United formW W D W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Manchester United a 40% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester United at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 22% draw and 44% away, making Manchester United to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Newcastle 1 wins, Manchester United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Newcastle vs Manchester United questions

What is the Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Manchester United to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Newcastle are rated at 33%, the draw at 22%, and Manchester United at 44%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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