Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction

Prediction summary

Chelsea vs Newcastle key facts

Primary tipNewcastle to Win

Predicted score2-3

Kick-offSat, Mar 14 - 20:30

Confidence39%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 30% draw and 39% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Open Chelsea vs Newcastle Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Newcastle to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆

Chelsea Win32%

Draw30%

Newcastle Win39%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Newcastle to Win 39% model probability

Double Chance 12 70% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 2-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost

Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 0-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five

Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 30% draw and 39% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Chelsea 0 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Chelsea vs Newcastle questions

What is the Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Newcastle to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 39% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Chelsea are rated at 32%, the draw at 30%, and Newcastle at 39%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.