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Match predictions

Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Sat, May 2 - 17:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 12:47 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Won
Newcastle Newcastle logo
3-1
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 St James' Park
138%Home X27%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Prediction summary

Newcastle vs Brighton key facts

Primary tipNewcastle to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSat, May 2 - 17:00
Confidence38%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Newcastle have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Newcastle and 40% for Brighton. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Those signals make Newcastle to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Newcastle to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Newcastle Win38%
Draw27%
Brighton Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Newcastle have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Newcastle and 40% for Brighton. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Those signals make Newcastle to Win the preferred model tip.

Newcastle 1 wins, Brighton 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Newcastle vs Brighton questions

What is the Newcastle vs Brighton prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Newcastle to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 38% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Newcastle are rated at 38%, the draw at 27%, and Brighton at 35%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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