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Match predictions

Everton vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League · Mon, May 4 - 22:00

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Everton Everton logo
3-3
Manchester City logo Manchester City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 Hill Dickinson Stadium
130%Home X32%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Prediction summary

Everton vs Manchester City key facts

Primary tipManchester City to Win
Predicted score2-3
Kick-offMon, May 4 - 22:00
Confidence38%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Manchester City a 4% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Everton 0 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Everton in position 13, 49 points, 38 matches played, while Manchester City in position 2, 78 points, 38 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 32% draw and 38% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Everton Win30%
Draw32%
Manchester City Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 3-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Everton formL L D D L2 points from last five
Manchester City formD W4 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 2.50Average goals scored
Table position13 / 249 pts vs 78 pts

Reason for tip

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Manchester City a 4% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Everton 0 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Everton in position 13, 49 points, 38 matches played, while Manchester City in position 2, 78 points, 38 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 32% draw and 38% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Everton 0 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-3 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Everton vs Manchester City questions

What is the Everton vs Manchester City prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Manchester City to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 38% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Everton are rated at 30%, the draw at 32%, and Manchester City at 38%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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