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Match predictions

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, Feb 21 - 20:30

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 04:56 EAT
Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig logo
2-2
Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 23 Red Bull Arena
141%Home X22%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund key facts

Primary tipRB Leipzig to Win
Predicted score3-2
Kick-offSat, Feb 21 - 20:30
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives RB Leipzig a 60% home win trend and Borussia Dortmund a 50% away win trend. RB Leipzig average 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Borussia Dortmund at 1.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. RB Leipzig 0 wins, Borussia Dortmund 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 22% draw and 37% away, making RB Leipzig to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

RB Leipzig to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
RB Leipzig Win41%
Draw22%
Borussia Dortmund Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

RB Leipzig formL W L W W9 points from last five
Borussia Dortmund formW W L W L9 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives RB Leipzig a 60% home win trend and Borussia Dortmund a 50% away win trend. RB Leipzig average 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Borussia Dortmund at 1.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. RB Leipzig 0 wins, Borussia Dortmund 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 22% draw and 37% away, making RB Leipzig to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

RB Leipzig 0 wins, Borussia Dortmund 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund questions

What is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours RB Leipzig to Win with a predicted score of 3-2 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

RB Leipzig are rated at 41%, the draw at 22%, and Borussia Dortmund at 37%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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