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Match predictions

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, May 3 - 16:30

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 12:47 EAT
Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Won
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli logo
1-2
FSV Mainz 05 logo FSV Mainz 05
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 32 Millerntor-Stadion
120%Home X30%Draw 250%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Prediction summary

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 key facts

Primary tipFSV Mainz 05 to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offSun, May 3 - 16:30
Confidence50%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for FC St. Pauli and 50% for FSV Mainz 05. FC St. Pauli average 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, compared with FSV Mainz 05 at 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded. Those signals make FSV Mainz 05 to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

FSV Mainz 05 to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆
FC St. Pauli Win20%
Draw30%
FSV Mainz 05 Win50%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Won
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

FC St. Pauli formL L L L D1 points from last five
FSV Mainz 05 formW L W L D7 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.60 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for FC St. Pauli and 50% for FSV Mainz 05. FC St. Pauli average 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, compared with FSV Mainz 05 at 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded. Those signals make FSV Mainz 05 to Win the preferred model tip.

FC St. Pauli 0 wins, FSV Mainz 05 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 questions

What is the FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours FSV Mainz 05 to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 50% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

FC St. Pauli are rated at 20%, the draw at 30%, and FSV Mainz 05 at 50%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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