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Match predictions

Ecuador vs Germany Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Thu, Jun 25 - 23:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 12:47 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Lost
Ecuador Ecuador logo
2-1
Germany logo Germany
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 3 MetLife Stadium
123%Home X20%Draw 257%Away
Match Centre Confidence 57%
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Prediction summary

Ecuador vs Germany key facts

Primary tipGermany to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offThu, Jun 25 - 23:00
Confidence57%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Ecuador have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Germany have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 46% for Ecuador and 67% for Germany. Ecuador average 0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, compared with Germany at 2.50 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Germany to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Germany to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Medium · 57% ★★★☆☆
Ecuador Win23%
Draw20%
Germany Win57%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 68% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 28% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 57% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ecuador formL0 points from last five
Germany formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength46% / 67%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.00 - 2.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ecuador have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Germany have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 46% for Ecuador and 67% for Germany. Ecuador average 0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, compared with Germany at 2.50 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Germany to Win the preferred model tip.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Ecuador vs Germany questions

What is the Ecuador vs Germany prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Germany to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 57% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Ecuador are rated at 23%, the draw at 20%, and Germany at 57%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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