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Match predictions

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Apr 16 - 22:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 12:47 EAT
UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC logo
3-1
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano
FULL-TIME QUARTER-FINALS Allwyn Arena
146%Home X21%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Prediction summary

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano key facts

Primary tipAEK Athens FC to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offThu, Apr 16 - 22:00
Confidence46%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

AEK Athens FC have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Rayo Vallecano have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 75% for AEK Athens FC and 40% for Rayo Vallecano. AEK Athens FC average 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Those signals make AEK Athens FC to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

AEK Athens FC to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
AEK Athens FC Win46%
Draw21%
Rayo Vallecano Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AEK Athens FC formW L L W W9 points from last five
Rayo Vallecano formL W W D D8 points from last five
Home/Away strength75% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.10 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AEK Athens FC have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Rayo Vallecano have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 75% for AEK Athens FC and 40% for Rayo Vallecano. AEK Athens FC average 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Rayo Vallecano at 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded. Those signals make AEK Athens FC to Win the preferred model tip.

AEK Athens FC 1 wins, Rayo Vallecano 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano questions

What is the AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours AEK Athens FC to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 46% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

AEK Athens FC are rated at 46%, the draw at 21%, and Rayo Vallecano at 34%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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