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Match predictions

Senegal vs Iraq Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Fri, Jun 26 - 22:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 20:22 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Won
Senegal Senegal logo
5-0
Iraq logo Iraq
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 3 BMO Field
168%Home X24%Draw 28%Away
Match Centre Confidence 68%
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Prediction summary

Senegal vs Iraq key facts

Primary tipSenegal to Win
Predicted score4-0
Kick-offFri, Jun 26 - 22:00
Confidence68%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Senegal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Iraq have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Senegal a 75% home win trend and Iraq a 4% away win trend. Senegal average 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Iraq at 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Senegal 1 wins, Iraq 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 68% home, 24% draw and 8% away, making Senegal to Win the preferred tip at 68% confidence.

Match forecast

Senegal to Win

Won
Predicted score 4-0 Confidence: High · 68% ★★★★☆
Senegal Win68%
Draw24%
Iraq Win8%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 4-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-0 · Lost
Model Confidence High 68% Final score: 5-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Senegal formL W L L W6 points from last five
Iraq formL L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength75% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 0.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Senegal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Iraq have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Senegal a 75% home win trend and Iraq a 4% away win trend. Senegal average 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Iraq at 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Senegal 1 wins, Iraq 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 68% home, 24% draw and 8% away, making Senegal to Win the preferred tip at 68% confidence.

Senegal 1 wins, Iraq 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Senegal vs Iraq questions

What is the Senegal vs Iraq prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Senegal to Win with a predicted score of 4-0 and 68% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Senegal are rated at 68%, the draw at 24%, and Iraq at 8%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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