Espanyol vs Alaves Prediction

Prediction summary

Espanyol vs Alaves key facts

Primary tipAlaves to Win

Predicted score1-2

Kick-offFri, Jan 30 - 23:00

Confidence40%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Espanyol have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Espanyol a 10% home win trend and Alaves a 30% away win trend. Espanyol average 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Espanyol 0 wins, Alaves 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 31% home, 29% draw and 40% away, making Alaves to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Open Espanyol vs Alaves Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Alaves to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆

Espanyol Win31%

Draw29%

Alaves Win40%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Alaves to Win 40% model probability

Double Chance 12 71% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Alaves Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Won

Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Espanyol formD W W L L7 points from last five

Alaves formL W W D L7 points from last five

Home/Away strength10% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile0.80 - 1.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Espanyol have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Espanyol a 10% home win trend and Alaves a 30% away win trend. Espanyol average 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Espanyol 0 wins, Alaves 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 31% home, 29% draw and 40% away, making Alaves to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Espanyol 0 wins, Alaves 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Espanyol vs Alaves questions

What is the Espanyol vs Alaves prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Alaves to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 40% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Espanyol are rated at 31%, the draw at 29%, and Alaves at 40%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.