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Match predictions

Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga · Tue, Apr 21 - 22:30

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 06:39 EAT
La Liga logo La Liga Won
Real Madrid Real Madrid logo
2-1
Alaves logo Alaves
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 33 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
155%Home X19%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
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Prediction summary

Real Madrid vs Alaves key facts

Primary tipReal Madrid to Win
Predicted score3-2
Kick-offTue, Apr 21 - 22:30
Confidence55%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Real Madrid have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Real Madrid and 30% for Alaves. Real Madrid average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Those signals make Real Madrid to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Real Madrid to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
Real Madrid Win55%
Draw19%
Alaves Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Real Madrid formW W W L W12 points from last five
Alaves formL W W D L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Real Madrid have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alaves have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Real Madrid and 30% for Alaves. Real Madrid average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Alaves at 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Those signals make Real Madrid to Win the preferred model tip.

Real Madrid 2 wins, Alaves 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Real Madrid vs Alaves questions

What is the Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Real Madrid to Win with a predicted score of 3-2 and 55% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Real Madrid are rated at 55%, the draw at 19%, and Alaves at 26%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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