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Match predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction

La Liga · Sat, Apr 25 - 22:00

Updated Wed, Jul 22, 2026 21:06 EAT
La Liga logo La Liga Won
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid logo
3-2
Athletic Club logo Athletic Club
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 32 Riyadh Air Metropolitano
144%Home X28%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club key facts

Primary tipAtletico Madrid to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offSat, Apr 25 - 22:00
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Atletico Madrid have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Athletic Club have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Atletico Madrid and 30% for Athletic Club. Atletico Madrid average 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded, compared with Athletic Club at 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded. Those signals make Atletico Madrid to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Atletico Madrid to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Atletico Madrid Win44%
Draw28%
Athletic Club Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Atletico Madrid formL W W L L6 points from last five
Athletic Club formL D L L W4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Atletico Madrid have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Athletic Club have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Atletico Madrid and 30% for Athletic Club. Atletico Madrid average 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded, compared with Athletic Club at 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded. Those signals make Atletico Madrid to Win the preferred model tip.

Atletico Madrid 1 wins, Athletic Club 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club questions

What is the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Atletico Madrid to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Atletico Madrid are rated at 44%, the draw at 28%, and Athletic Club at 28%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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