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Match predictions

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club Prediction

Copa del Rey · Wed, Mar 4 - 23:00

Updated Tue, Jul 21, 2026 08:11 EAT
Copa del Rey logo Copa del Rey Won
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad logo
1-0
Athletic Club logo Athletic Club
FULL-TIME SEMI-FINALS Reale Arena
144%Home X30%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club key facts

Primary tipReal Sociedad to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offWed, Mar 4 - 23:00
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Athletic Club have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Real Sociedad a 50% home win trend and Athletic Club a 30% away win trend. Real Sociedad average 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Athletic Club at 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded. Real Sociedad 3 wins, Athletic Club 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 30% draw and 26% away, making Real Sociedad to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Real Sociedad to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Real Sociedad Win44%
Draw30%
Athletic Club Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Real Sociedad formD L D D L3 points from last five
Athletic Club formL D L L W4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Athletic Club have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Real Sociedad a 50% home win trend and Athletic Club a 30% away win trend. Real Sociedad average 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Athletic Club at 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded. Real Sociedad 3 wins, Athletic Club 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 30% draw and 26% away, making Real Sociedad to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Real Sociedad 3 wins, Athletic Club 0 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club questions

What is the Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Real Sociedad to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Real Sociedad are rated at 44%, the draw at 30%, and Athletic Club at 26%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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