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Match predictions

Uganda vs Nigeria Prediction

AFCON · Tue, Dec 30 - 19:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 15:26 EAT
AFCON logo AFCON Won
Uganda Uganda logo
1-3
Nigeria logo Nigeria
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 3 Complexe Sportif de Fès
130%Home X20%Draw 250%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Prediction summary

Uganda vs Nigeria key facts

Primary tipNigeria to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offTue, Dec 30 - 19:00
Confidence50%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Uganda have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nigeria have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Uganda a 50% home win trend and Nigeria a 60% away win trend. Uganda average 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nigeria at 2.30 scored and 0.60 conceded. Uganda 0 wins, Nigeria 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 20% draw and 50% away, making Nigeria to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Match forecast

Nigeria to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆
Uganda Win30%
Draw20%
Nigeria Win50%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 54% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Uganda formL D L L W4 points from last five
Nigeria formD D W W W11 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.57 - 2.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Uganda have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nigeria have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Uganda a 50% home win trend and Nigeria a 60% away win trend. Uganda average 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nigeria at 2.30 scored and 0.60 conceded. Uganda 0 wins, Nigeria 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 20% draw and 50% away, making Nigeria to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Uganda 0 wins, Nigeria 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Uganda vs Nigeria questions

What is the Uganda vs Nigeria prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Nigeria to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 50% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Uganda are rated at 30%, the draw at 20%, and Nigeria at 50%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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