Mara Sugar vs Mathare United Prediction
Sportpesa Premier League · Sat, May 16 - 14:00
Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 07:28 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League
Lost
Mathare United
Mara Sugar vs Mathare United key facts
Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mathare United have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mara Sugar a 50% home win trend and Mathare United a 10% away win trend. Mara Sugar average 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mathare United at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Mara Sugar 1 wins, Mathare United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 29% draw and 31% away, making Mara Sugar to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Mara Sugar to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mathare United have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mara Sugar a 50% home win trend and Mathare United a 10% away win trend. Mara Sugar average 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mathare United at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Mara Sugar 1 wins, Mathare United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 29% draw and 31% away, making Mara Sugar to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Mara Sugar 1 wins, Mathare United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win
Mara Sugar vs Mathare United questions
What is the Mara Sugar vs Mathare United prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Mara Sugar to Win with a predicted score of 2-0 and 40% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Mara Sugar are rated at 40%, the draw at 29%, and Mathare United at 31%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.