Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction
Championship · Sat, Dec 20 - 18:00
Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 17:51 EATDerby vs Portsmouth key facts
Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Portsmouth a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 24% draw and 35% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.
Derby to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Portsmouth a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 24% draw and 35% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.
Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw
Derby vs Portsmouth questions
What is the Derby vs Portsmouth prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Derby to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 41% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Derby are rated at 41%, the draw at 24%, and Portsmouth at 35%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.