Derby vs Swansea Prediction

Prediction summary

Derby vs Swansea key facts

Primary tipDerby to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offSat, Feb 14 - 18:00

Confidence59%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Swansea have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Swansea a 4% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Swansea at 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Derby 2 wins, Swansea 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played, while Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 59% home, 26% draw and 15% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 59% confidence.

Open Derby vs Swansea Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 59% ★★★☆☆

Derby Win59%

Draw26%

Swansea Win15%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 59% model probability

Double Chance 1X 85% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Derby Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Derby clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 76% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Medium 59% Final score: 2-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five

Swansea formL L0 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 4%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 0.50Average goals scored

Table position8 / 1169 pts vs 64 pts

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Swansea have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Swansea a 4% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Swansea at 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Derby 2 wins, Swansea 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played, while Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 59% home, 26% draw and 15% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 59% confidence.

Derby 2 wins, Swansea 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Derby vs Swansea questions

What is the Derby vs Swansea prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Derby to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 59% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Derby are rated at 59%, the draw at 26%, and Swansea at 15%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.