Derby vs Blackburn Prediction

Prediction summary

Derby vs Blackburn key facts

Primary tipDerby to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offSat, Feb 28 - 15:30

Confidence47%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Blackburn a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Blackburn at 0.80 scored and 0.90 conceded. Derby 2 wins, Blackburn 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 25% draw and 28% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Open Derby vs Blackburn Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆

Derby Win47%

Draw25%

Blackburn Win28%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 47% model probability

Double Chance 12 75% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 55% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Derby Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five

Blackburn formL W D L D5 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 0.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Blackburn a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Blackburn at 0.80 scored and 0.90 conceded. Derby 2 wins, Blackburn 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 25% draw and 28% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Derby 2 wins, Blackburn 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Derby vs Blackburn questions

What is the Derby vs Blackburn prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Derby to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 47% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Derby are rated at 47%, the draw at 25%, and Blackburn at 28%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.