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Match predictions

Millwall vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Tue, Mar 10 - 22:45

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 13:13 EAT
Championship logo Championship Won
Millwall Millwall logo
1-0
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 37 The Den
146%Home X24%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Prediction summary

Millwall vs Derby key facts

Primary tipMillwall to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offTue, Mar 10 - 22:45
Confidence46%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Millwall have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Millwall and 40% for Derby. Millwall average 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Millwall to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Millwall to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Millwall Win46%
Draw24%
Derby Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 61% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Millwall formL D W D W8 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Millwall have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Millwall and 40% for Derby. Millwall average 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Millwall to Win the preferred model tip.

Millwall 1 wins, Derby 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Millwall vs Derby questions

What is the Millwall vs Derby prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Millwall to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 46% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Millwall are rated at 46%, the draw at 24%, and Derby at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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