Swansea vs Southampton Prediction

Prediction summary

Swansea vs Southampton key facts

Primary tipSouthampton to Win

Predicted score2-3

Kick-offSat, Apr 18 - 17:00

Confidence39%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Southampton have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Southampton a 70% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Southampton at 2.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Southampton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Southampton, with an average top-player rating of 6.79 and 15 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 23% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Open Swansea vs Southampton Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Southampton to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆

Swansea Win38%

Draw23%

Southampton Win39%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Southampton to Win 39% model probability

Double Chance 12 77% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 75% model probability

Correct Score 2-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Southampton Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 75% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 1-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Swansea formW D W L W10 points from last five

Southampton formD D W D L6 points from last five

Home/Away strength50% / 70%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.50 - 2.10Average goals scored

Table position11 / 464 pts vs 80 pts

Player form- / 6.79Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Southampton have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Southampton a 70% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Southampton at 2.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Southampton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Southampton, with an average top-player rating of 6.79 and 15 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 23% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Swansea 0 wins, Southampton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Swansea vs Southampton questions

What is the Swansea vs Southampton prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Southampton to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 39% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Swansea are rated at 38%, the draw at 23%, and Southampton at 39%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.