Wrexham vs Stoke City Prediction

Prediction summary

Wrexham vs Stoke City key facts

Primary tipWrexham to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offSat, Apr 18 - 17:00

Confidence54%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Wrexham have won 1 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Wrexham a 90% home win trend and Stoke City a 10% away win trend. Wrexham average 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Stoke City at 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Wrexham 1 wins, Stoke City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Wrexham in position 7, 71 points, 46 matches played, while Stoke City in position 17, 55 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making Wrexham to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

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Match forecast

Wrexham to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 54% ★★★☆☆

Wrexham Win54%

Draw26%

Stoke City Win20%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Wrexham to Win 54% model probability

Double Chance 1X 80% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 63% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Wrexham Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Wrexham clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 63% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 38% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Medium 54% Final score: 2-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Wrexham formW L3 points from last five

Stoke City formL L L L D1 points from last five

Home/Away strength90% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.00 - 1.20Average goals scored

Table position7 / 1771 pts vs 55 pts

Reason for tip

Wrexham have won 1 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Wrexham a 90% home win trend and Stoke City a 10% away win trend. Wrexham average 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Stoke City at 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Wrexham 1 wins, Stoke City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Wrexham in position 7, 71 points, 46 matches played, while Stoke City in position 17, 55 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making Wrexham to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Wrexham 1 wins, Stoke City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Wrexham vs Stoke City questions

What is the Wrexham vs Stoke City prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Wrexham to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 54% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Wrexham are rated at 54%, the draw at 26%, and Stoke City at 20%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.