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Match predictions

Southampton vs Bristol City Prediction

Championship · Tue, Apr 21 - 21:45

Updated Fri, Aug 7, 2026 00:00 EAT
Championship logo Championship Lost
Southampton Southampton logo
2-2
Bristol City logo Bristol City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 44 St. Mary's Stadium
144%Home X25%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Southampton vs Bristol City key facts

Primary tipSouthampton to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offTue, Apr 21 - 21:45
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bristol City have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Bristol City a 30% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bristol City at 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded. Southampton 0 wins, Bristol City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Bristol City in position 12, 62 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Southampton, with an average top-player rating of 6.79 and 15 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Southampton to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Southampton Win44%
Draw25%
Bristol City Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Southampton formD D W D L6 points from last five
Bristol City formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.10 - 1.10Average goals scored
Table position4 / 1280 pts vs 62 pts
Player form6.79 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bristol City have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Bristol City a 30% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bristol City at 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded. Southampton 0 wins, Bristol City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Bristol City in position 12, 62 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Southampton, with an average top-player rating of 6.79 and 15 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Southampton 0 wins, Bristol City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Southampton vs Bristol City questions

What is the Southampton vs Bristol City prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Southampton to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Southampton are rated at 44%, the draw at 25%, and Bristol City at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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