Norwich vs Derby Prediction

Prediction summary

Norwich vs Derby key facts

Primary tipNorwich to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offTue, Apr 21 - 21:45

Confidence41%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Norwich average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The table context has Norwich in position 9, 65 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Derby, with an average top-player rating of 7.02 and 14 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 25% draw and 34% away, making Norwich to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Open Norwich vs Derby Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Norwich to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆

Norwich Win41%

Draw25%

Derby Win34%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Norwich to Win 41% model probability

Double Chance 12 75% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Norwich Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Norwich formNo recent form0 points from last five

Derby formNo recent form0 points from last five

Home/Away strength46% / 34%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.15 - 1.15Average goals scored

Table position9 / 865 pts vs 69 pts

Player form- / 7.02Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Norwich average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The table context has Norwich in position 9, 65 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data is available for Derby, with an average top-player rating of 7.02 and 14 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 25% draw and 34% away, making Norwich to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Norwich vs Derby questions

What is the Norwich vs Derby prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Norwich to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Norwich are rated at 41%, the draw at 25%, and Derby at 34%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.