QPR vs Derby Prediction

Prediction summary

QPR vs Derby key facts

Primary tipDerby to Win

Predicted score1-2

Kick-offSat, Apr 25 - 17:00

Confidence52%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

QPR have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives QPR a 30% home win trend and Derby a 90% away win trend. QPR average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. QPR 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has QPR in position 15, 58 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 25% home, 23% draw and 52% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆

QPR Win25%

Draw23%

Derby Win52%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 52% model probability

Double Chance 12 77% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Derby Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 2-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

QPR formL L L L D1 points from last five

Derby formW W6 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 90%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.50 - 2.00Average goals scored

Table position15 / 858 pts vs 69 pts

Reason for tip

QPR have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives QPR a 30% home win trend and Derby a 90% away win trend. QPR average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. QPR 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has QPR in position 15, 58 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 25% home, 23% draw and 52% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

QPR 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

QPR vs Derby questions

What is the QPR vs Derby prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Derby to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 52% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

QPR are rated at 25%, the draw at 23%, and Derby at 52%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.