Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction

Prediction summary

Stoke City vs Portsmouth key facts

Primary tipPortsmouth to Win

Predicted score1-2

Kick-offSat, Apr 25 - 17:00

Confidence43%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Stoke City a 30% home win trend and Portsmouth a 90% away win trend. Stoke City average 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Stoke City 1 wins, Portsmouth 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Stoke City in position 17, 55 points, 46 matches played, while Portsmouth in position 18, 55 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 28% home, 28% draw and 43% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Open Stoke City vs Portsmouth Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Portsmouth to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆

Stoke City Win28%

Draw28%

Portsmouth Win43%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Portsmouth to Win 43% model probability

Double Chance 12 72% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Portsmouth Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 1-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Stoke City formL L L L D1 points from last five

Portsmouth formW L3 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 90%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.20 - 1.50Average goals scored

Table position17 / 1855 pts vs 55 pts

Reason for tip

Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Stoke City a 30% home win trend and Portsmouth a 90% away win trend. Stoke City average 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Stoke City 1 wins, Portsmouth 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Stoke City in position 17, 55 points, 46 matches played, while Portsmouth in position 18, 55 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 28% home, 28% draw and 43% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Stoke City 1 wins, Portsmouth 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Stoke City vs Portsmouth questions

What is the Stoke City vs Portsmouth prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Portsmouth to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 43% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Stoke City are rated at 28%, the draw at 28%, and Portsmouth at 43%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.