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Match predictions

Estrela vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Nov 9 - 18:30

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 20:15 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Lost
Estrela Estrela logo
1-1
Nacional logo Nacional
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 11 Estádio José Gomes
126%Home X32%Draw 242%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

Estrela vs Nacional key facts

Primary tipNacional to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offSun, Nov 9 - 18:30
Confidence42%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Estrela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nacional have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Estrela and 10% for Nacional. Estrela average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Nacional at 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Nacional to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Nacional to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Estrela Win26%
Draw32%
Nacional Win42%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 66% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Estrela formD D L L L2 points from last five
Nacional formW L L W W9 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 0.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Estrela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nacional have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Estrela and 10% for Nacional. Estrela average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Nacional at 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Nacional to Win the preferred model tip.

Estrela 0 wins, Nacional 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Estrela vs Nacional questions

What is the Estrela vs Nacional prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Nacional to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Estrela are rated at 26%, the draw at 32%, and Nacional at 42%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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