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Match predictions

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Jan 3 - 18:30

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 05:57 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Lost
Tondela Tondela logo
3-1
Arouca logo Arouca
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 17 Estádio João Cardoso
132%Home X26%Draw 243%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Prediction summary

Tondela vs Arouca key facts

Primary tipArouca to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offSat, Jan 3 - 18:30
Confidence43%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Tondela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Tondela and 40% for Arouca. Tondela average 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Tondela Win32%
Draw26%
Arouca Win43%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Tondela formL W W D L7 points from last five
Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.80 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Tondela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Tondela and 40% for Arouca. Tondela average 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Tondela 1 wins, Arouca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Tondela vs Arouca questions

What is the Tondela vs Arouca prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Arouca to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 43% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Tondela are rated at 32%, the draw at 26%, and Arouca at 43%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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