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Match predictions

Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Jan 11 - 21:00

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 09:35 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Moreirense Moreirense logo
1-0
Tondela logo Tondela
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 16 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
141%Home X29%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Moreirense vs Tondela key facts

Primary tipMoreirense to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSun, Jan 11 - 21:00
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tondela have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Moreirense and 20% for Tondela. Moreirense average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Tondela at 0.80 scored and 1.70 conceded. Those signals make Moreirense to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Moreirense to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Moreirense Win41%
Draw29%
Tondela Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 63% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Moreirense formD L W L W7 points from last five
Tondela formL W W D L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 0.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tondela have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Moreirense and 20% for Tondela. Moreirense average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Tondela at 0.80 scored and 1.70 conceded. Those signals make Moreirense to Win the preferred model tip.

Moreirense 1 wins, Tondela 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Moreirense vs Tondela questions

What is the Moreirense vs Tondela prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Moreirense to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Moreirense are rated at 41%, the draw at 29%, and Tondela at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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