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Match predictions

Arouca vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Mar 14 - 23:30

Updated Mon, Jul 20, 2026 13:58 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Arouca Arouca logo
1-2
Benfica logo Benfica
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 26 Estádio Municipal de Arouca
138%Home X20%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Arouca vs Benfica key facts

Primary tipBenfica to Win
Predicted score2-3
Kick-offSat, Mar 14 - 23:30
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Benfica have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 50% for Benfica. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Benfica at 2.30 scored and 1.10 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Benfica to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Arouca Win38%
Draw20%
Benfica Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Benfica formW D D W W11 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 2.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Benfica have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 50% for Benfica. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Benfica at 2.30 scored and 1.10 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Arouca 0 wins, Benfica 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Arouca vs Benfica questions

What is the Arouca vs Benfica prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Benfica to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Arouca are rated at 38%, the draw at 20%, and Benfica at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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