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Match predictions

Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Mar 21 - 18:30

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 14:08 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Moreirense Moreirense logo
0-1
Arouca logo Arouca
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
134%Home X25%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Moreirense vs Arouca key facts

Primary tipArouca to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offSat, Mar 21 - 18:30
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Moreirense and 40% for Arouca. Moreirense average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Moreirense Win34%
Draw25%
Arouca Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 65% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Moreirense formD L W L W7 points from last five
Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Moreirense and 40% for Arouca. Moreirense average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Moreirense 1 wins, Arouca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Moreirense vs Arouca questions

What is the Moreirense vs Arouca prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Arouca to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Moreirense are rated at 34%, the draw at 25%, and Arouca at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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