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Match predictions

Arouca vs Estoril Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon, Apr 6 - 20:45

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 14:38 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Arouca Arouca logo
3-2
Estoril logo Estoril
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 Estádio Municipal de Arouca
156%Home X23%Draw 221%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
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Prediction summary

Arouca vs Estoril key facts

Primary tipArouca to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offMon, Apr 6 - 20:45
Confidence56%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Estoril have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 30% for Estoril. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Estoril at 0.80 scored and 1.50 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Arouca Win56%
Draw23%
Estoril Win21%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Estoril formL D D L L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 0.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Estoril have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 30% for Estoril. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Estoril at 0.80 scored and 1.50 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Arouca 1 wins, Estoril 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Arouca vs Estoril questions

What is the Arouca vs Estoril prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Arouca to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 56% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Arouca are rated at 56%, the draw at 23%, and Estoril at 21%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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