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Match predictions

Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Apr 12 - 17:30

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 13:15 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Alverca Alverca logo
3-1
Casa Pia logo Casa Pia
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
141%Home X29%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Alverca vs Casa Pia key facts

Primary tipAlverca to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSun, Apr 12 - 17:30
Confidence41%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 10% for Casa Pia. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Casa Pia at 0.70 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Alverca to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Alverca to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Alverca Win41%
Draw29%
Casa Pia Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five
Casa Pia formW D D W L8 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 10% for Casa Pia. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Casa Pia at 0.70 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Alverca to Win the preferred model tip.

Alverca 2 wins, Casa Pia 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Alverca vs Casa Pia questions

What is the Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Alverca to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Alverca are rated at 41%, the draw at 29%, and Casa Pia at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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