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Match predictions

Benfica vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Apr 12 - 20:00

Updated Wed, Jul 22, 2026 07:26 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Benfica Benfica logo
2-0
Nacional logo Nacional
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 Estádio da Luz
155%Home X19%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
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Prediction summary

Benfica vs Nacional key facts

Primary tipBenfica to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSun, Apr 12 - 20:00
Confidence55%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Benfica have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nacional have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Benfica and 10% for Nacional. Benfica average 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, compared with Nacional at 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Benfica to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
Benfica Win55%
Draw19%
Nacional Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Benfica formW D D W W11 points from last five
Nacional formW L L W W9 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.30 - 0.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Benfica have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nacional have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Benfica and 10% for Nacional. Benfica average 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, compared with Nacional at 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Benfica 2 wins, Nacional 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Benfica vs Nacional questions

What is the Benfica vs Nacional prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Benfica to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 55% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Benfica are rated at 55%, the draw at 19%, and Nacional at 26%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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